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Red64
450531.8
406718.9
191519.2
Blue85
511530.9
88830.6
623617.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions708302003004005006485

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.80.0
31.831.8
Auto8.8
Teleop19.0
End4.1
red by 0.9
30.90.0
30.930.9
Auto7.4
Teleop17.7
End5.7
Second
1915
#20
19.20.0
19.219.2
Auto4.8
Teleop11.1
End3.2
blue by 11.5
888
#19
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto10.1
Teleop15.5
End5.0
Third
4067
#25
18.90.0
18.918.9
Auto4.7
Teleop12.1
End2.2
red by 1.6
6236
#13
17.40.0
17.417.4
Auto6.9
Teleop7.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
66%Breach odds90%Breach odds
Capture
2%Capture odds4%Capture odds