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Red75
253431.3
338925.9
494917.5
Blue102
53322.8
253730.6
291424.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions768005010015020075102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.30.0
31.331.3
Auto11.7
Teleop10.9
End8.7
red by 0.7
2537
#24
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto9.5
Teleop15.7
End5.4
Second
3389
#15
25.90.0
25.925.9
Auto9.0
Teleop12.4
End4.5
red by 1.7
2914
#11
24.20.0
24.224.2
Auto7.6
Teleop13.3
End3.3
Third
4949
#21
17.50.0
17.517.5
Auto5.3
Teleop10.2
End2.0
blue by 5.2
533
#6
22.80.0
22.822.8
Auto5.4
Teleop13.1
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
89%Breach odds76%Breach odds
Capture
3%Capture odds2%Capture odds