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Red167
162931.9
22563.8
33931.4
Blue73
237736.0
594524.3
281912.4
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14363010020025030016773

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
#1
63.80.0
63.863.8
Auto16.7
Teleop36.9
End10.2
red by 27.9
2377
#27
36.00.0
36.036.0
Auto9.0
Teleop16.3
End10.6
Second
31.90.0
31.931.9
Auto11.2
Teleop17.4
End3.3
red by 7.6
5945
#23
24.30.0
24.324.3
Auto8.7
Teleop10.9
End4.7
Third
339
#4
31.40.0
31.431.4
Auto9.2
Teleop19.4
End2.8
red by 18.9
2819
#10
12.40.0
12.412.4
Auto4.0
Teleop7.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach odds63%Breach odds
Capture
41%Capture odds1%Capture odds