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Red104
188525.9
253732.4
49499.4
Blue89
494528.2
511520.8
556917.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions758420406010012014016018010489

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.40.6
29.630.1
Auto13.0
Teleop13.4
End6.0
red by 4.2
28.20.1
27.928.0
Auto7.6
Teleop14.8
End5.8
Second
1885
#13
25.90.6
22.823.4
Auto4.5
Teleop18.0
End3.4
red by 5.1
20.80.1
20.520.6
Auto7.4
Teleop10.4
End2.9
Third
4949
#33
9.40.6
6.36.9
Auto1.8
Teleop7.1
End0.4
blue by 7.8
5569
#16
17.20.1
16.917.0
Auto5.1
Teleop8.4
End3.7