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Red126
83633.3
141843.7
482115.2
Blue122
188525.9
253732.4
49499.4
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11877204060100140160180126122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.70.2
43.043.3
Auto8.7
Teleop23.6
End11.3
red by 11.3
32.40.7
31.732.4
Auto13.0
Teleop13.4
End6.0
Second
836
#4
33.30.3
32.432.8
Auto11.4
Teleop16.1
End5.8
red by 7.4
1885
#13
25.90.8
25.125.9
Auto4.5
Teleop18.0
End3.4
Third
4821
#20
15.20.3
14.414.7
Auto4.2
Teleop9.0
End2.0
red by 5.8
4949
#33
9.40.8
8.69.4
Auto1.8
Teleop7.1
End0.4