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Red5
49499.4
296313.7
374817.4
Blue54
188525.9
379316.3
218614.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48560204080100554

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3748
#30
17.45.3
16.511.2
Auto6.8
Teleop8.3
End2.3
blue by 8.5
1885
#13
25.90.5
23.322.8
Auto4.5
Teleop18.0
End3.4
Second
2963
#28DQ
13.75.3
15.410.1
Auto4.8
Teleop7.2
End1.8
blue by 2.6
3793
#26
16.30.5
17.116.6
Auto6.9
Teleop8.3
End1.1
Third
4949
#33DQ
9.45.3
15.810.5
Auto1.8
Teleop7.1
End0.4
blue by 5.2
2186
#12
14.60.3
13.112.8
Auto1.4
Teleop10.8
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
36%Breach oddsMissed38%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed