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Red62
365021.7
424230.6
511520.8
Blue22
328321.3
291420.1
138923.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5758203040507080906222

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.60.2
25.525.8
Auto10.5
Teleop14.6
End5.5
red by 7.6
23.13.5
18.815.3
Auto6.9
Teleop14.2
End1.9
Second
3650
#19
21.70.4
17.718.1
Auto7.2
Teleop10.7
End3.8
red by 0.4
3283
#11
21.33.5
15.912.4
Auto6.1
Teleop10.8
End4.3
Third
20.80.4
15.115.5
Auto7.4
Teleop10.4
End2.9
red by 0.6
2914
#21
20.13.5
18.815.3
Auto8.4
Teleop8.6
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
46%Breach oddsEarned40%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed