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Red60
556917.2
558728.2
296313.7
Blue25
291420.1
597914.3
445616.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43491020306070806025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.21.2
21.022.2
Auto8.4
Teleop15.7
End4.1
red by 8.1
2914
#21
20.12.4
15.312.8
Auto8.4
Teleop8.6
End3.1
Second
5569
#16
17.21.2
11.412.6
Auto5.1
Teleop8.4
End3.7
red by 0.2
4456
#15
16.92.4
15.513.1
Auto7.3
Teleop9.1
End0.6
Third
2963
#28DQ
13.71.9
10.112.1
Auto4.8
Teleop7.2
End1.8
blue by 0.5
5979
#18
14.32.4
16.113.6
Auto4.0
Teleop7.5
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
24%Breach oddsEarned37%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed