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Red32
44920.3
49499.4
511520.8
Blue42
219920.4
284923.0
584110.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4748102030406070803242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.81.7
15.513.8
Auto7.4
Teleop10.4
End2.9
blue by 2.3
2849
#29
23.00.4
19.018.6
Auto7.8
Teleop12.9
End2.4
Second
449
#22
20.31.7
21.219.6
Auto7.4
Teleop11.8
End1.1
blue by 0.1
2199
#14
20.40.4
15.214.8
Auto4.6
Teleop12.2
End3.6
Third
4949
#33DQ
9.41.7
10.58.8
Auto1.8
Teleop7.1
End0.4
blue by 1.4
5841
#34
10.80.4
11.611.2
Auto0.9
Teleop7.5
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
46%Breach oddsMissed38%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed