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Red35
365021.7
58309.5
83633.3
Blue50
463822.6
554912.6
290018.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6241020801001203550

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
836
#4
33.32.4
26.123.7
Auto11.4
Teleop16.1
End5.8
red by 10.7
4638
#10
22.60.3
19.019.2
Auto9.5
Teleop8.2
End4.8
Second
3650
#19
21.72.4
18.115.7
Auto7.2
Teleop10.7
End3.8
red by 2.9
2900
#25
18.80.3
14.714.9
Auto9.4
Teleop6.6
End2.9
Third
5830
#35
9.52.4
12.710.2
Auto2.1
Teleop6.3
End1.1
blue by 3.1
5549
#23
12.60.2
9.19.2
Auto4.2
Teleop6.2
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
51%Breach oddsMissed34%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed