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Red65
463822.6
29119.7
253732.4
Blue49
556917.2
451418.6
446422.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45462030405060706549

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.41.7
18.320.1
Auto13.0
Teleop13.4
End6.0
red by 10.3
4464
#31
22.10.6
16.617.2
Auto4.5
Teleop13.1
End4.5
Second
4638
#10
22.61.7
19.221.0
Auto9.5
Teleop8.2
End4.8
red by 3.9
4514
#24
18.60.6
14.515.1
Auto5.7
Teleop10.2
End2.8
Third
2911
#36
9.71.0
6.87.9
Auto2.2
Teleop6.1
End1.4
blue by 7.4
5569
#16
17.20.4
12.612.9
Auto5.1
Teleop8.4
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
52%Breach oddsEarned26%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed