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Red35
28198.1
296412.8
188525.9
Blue49
482115.2
44920.3
219920.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions614802040801003549

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1885
#13
25.92.4
24.021.5
Auto4.5
Teleop18.0
End3.4
red by 5.5
2199
#14
20.40.0
14.814.8
Auto4.6
Teleop12.2
End3.6
Second
2964
#39DQ
12.82.4
15.813.3
Auto2.9
Teleop8.4
End1.5
blue by 7.5
449
#22
20.30.0
19.619.6
Auto7.4
Teleop11.8
End1.1
Third
2819
#38
8.12.4
17.314.8
Auto0.7
Teleop5.4
End2.0
blue by 7.0
4821
#20
15.20.0
14.314.3
Auto4.2
Teleop9.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
54%Breach oddsMissed38%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed