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Red40
365021.7
584110.8
445616.9
Blue121
83633.3
141843.7
253732.4
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions339002040608010012014040121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3650
#19
21.70.1
15.715.6
Auto7.2
Teleop10.7
End3.8
blue by 22.0
43.71.8
35.537.2
Auto8.7
Teleop23.6
End11.3
Second
4456
#15
16.90.1
13.713.7
Auto7.3
Teleop9.1
End0.6
blue by 16.3
836
#4
33.33.0
23.726.6
Auto11.4
Teleop16.1
End5.8
Third
5841
#34
10.80.1
11.211.1
Auto0.9
Teleop7.5
End2.3
blue by 21.6
32.43.0
20.123.1
Auto13.0
Teleop13.4
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
23%Breach oddsMissed89%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsEarned