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Red20
29119.7
28198.1
554912.6
Blue72
218614.6
556917.2
463822.6
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28530204060801002072

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5549
#23
12.60.7
8.07.3
Auto4.2
Teleop6.2
End2.2
blue by 9.9
4638
#10
22.62.7
21.023.7
Auto9.5
Teleop8.2
End4.8
Second
2911
#36
9.70.7
7.97.2
Auto2.2
Teleop6.1
End1.4
blue by 7.4
5569
#16
17.21.6
12.914.6
Auto5.1
Teleop8.4
End3.7
Third
2819
#38
8.11.2
14.813.6
Auto0.7
Teleop5.4
End2.0
blue by 6.5
2186
#12
14.61.6
13.815.4
Auto1.4
Teleop10.8
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
27%Breach oddsMissed32%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed