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Red56
597914.3
482115.2
424230.6
Blue26
379316.3
451418.6
511520.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions554602040801001205626

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.60.3
26.226.5
Auto10.5
Teleop14.6
End5.5
red by 9.9
20.83.3
14.711.4
Auto7.4
Teleop10.4
End2.9
Second
4821
#20
15.20.5
14.314.8
Auto4.2
Teleop9.0
End2.0
blue by 3.5
4514
#24
18.63.3
15.111.8
Auto5.7
Teleop10.2
End2.8
Third
5979
#18
14.30.5
11.311.7
Auto4.0
Teleop7.5
End2.8
blue by 2.0
3793
#26
16.33.3
16.012.7
Auto6.9
Teleop8.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
48%Breach oddsEarned36%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed