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Red42
188525.9
191513.4
463822.6
Blue63
424230.6
68629.2
49499.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5758405070804263

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1885
#13
25.91.6
21.620.0
Auto4.5
Teleop18.0
End3.4
blue by 4.8
30.60.1
26.526.6
Auto10.5
Teleop14.6
End5.5
Second
4638
#10
22.61.6
23.722.1
Auto9.5
Teleop8.2
End4.8
blue by 6.7
686
#7
29.20.2
22.022.2
Auto9.7
Teleop15.6
End4.0
Third
1915
#27
13.41.6
11.09.4
Auto3.3
Teleop7.6
End2.5
red by 4.0
4949
#33
9.40.2
7.77.9
Auto1.8
Teleop7.1
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
55%Breach oddsMissed64%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed