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Red74
253732.4
556917.2
511520.8
Blue64
374817.4
558728.2
58309.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5338020801001201401607464

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.42.8
23.125.8
Auto13.0
Teleop13.4
End6.0
red by 4.2
28.21.3
23.825.1
Auto8.4
Teleop15.7
End4.1
Second
20.82.8
11.414.2
Auto7.4
Teleop10.4
End2.9
red by 3.4
3748
#30
17.42.2
9.011.2
Auto6.8
Teleop8.3
End2.3
Third
5569
#16
17.21.7
14.616.2
Auto5.1
Teleop8.4
End3.7
red by 7.6
5830
#35
9.52.2
6.58.7
Auto2.1
Teleop6.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
39%Breach oddsEarned45%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed