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Red82
291420.1
451418.6
290018.8
Blue68
296412.8
191513.4
83633.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions465602040801008268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2914
#21
20.12.9
15.918.8
Auto8.4
Teleop8.6
End3.1
blue by 13.1
836
#4
33.31.7
29.931.6
Auto11.4
Teleop16.1
End5.8
Second
2900
#25
18.82.9
16.519.4
Auto9.4
Teleop6.6
End2.9
red by 5.4
1915
#27
13.41.7
9.911.6
Auto3.3
Teleop7.6
End2.5
Third
4514
#24
18.62.9
13.416.3
Auto5.7
Teleop10.2
End2.8
red by 5.9
2964
#39
12.81.7
12.914.6
Auto2.9
Teleop8.4
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
20%Breach oddsEarned30%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed