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Red67
379316.3
374817.4
291215.2
Blue64
284923.0
556917.2
44920.3
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3763020801001206764

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3748
#30
17.43.1
12.915.9
Auto6.8
Teleop8.3
End2.3
blue by 5.6
2849
#29
23.00.2
22.022.2
Auto7.8
Teleop12.9
End2.4
Second
3793
#26
16.33.1
14.217.2
Auto6.9
Teleop8.3
End1.1
blue by 4.0
449
#22
20.30.2
19.219.4
Auto7.4
Teleop11.8
End1.1
Third
2912
#17
15.23.1
12.415.5
Auto7.3
Teleop6.5
End1.4
blue by 2.0
5569
#16
17.20.1
16.016.1
Auto5.1
Teleop8.4
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
28%Breach oddsEarned30%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed