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Red69
68629.2
597914.3
463822.6
Blue88
218614.6
328321.3
141843.7
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions597720401001201406988

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
686
#7
29.21.0
22.623.6
Auto9.7
Teleop15.6
End4.0
blue by 14.4
43.71.1
39.940.9
Auto8.7
Teleop23.6
End11.3
Second
4638
#10
22.61.0
22.623.5
Auto9.5
Teleop8.2
End4.8
red by 1.3
3283
#11
21.31.6
16.718.4
Auto6.1
Teleop10.8
End4.3
Third
5979
#18
14.31.0
14.615.6
Auto4.0
Teleop7.5
End2.8
blue by 0.3
2186
#12
14.61.1
15.616.6
Auto1.4
Teleop10.8
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
73%Breach oddsEarned71%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed