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Red42
445616.9
379316.3
29119.7
Blue67
191513.4
494528.2
554912.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4443303540505560654267

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4456
#15
16.90.1
15.615.6
Auto7.3
Teleop9.1
End0.6
blue by 11.2
28.22.6
23.125.7
Auto7.6
Teleop14.8
End5.8
Second
3793
#26
16.30.1
17.217.2
Auto6.9
Teleop8.3
End1.1
red by 2.9
1915
#27
13.42.6
11.614.2
Auto3.3
Teleop7.6
End2.5
Third
2911
#36
9.70.0
9.79.6
Auto2.2
Teleop6.1
End1.4
blue by 2.9
5549
#23
12.61.7
7.28.9
Auto4.2
Teleop6.2
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
46%Breach oddsMissed44%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed