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Red74
597914.3
446422.1
188525.9
Blue32
379316.3
409913.8
584110.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions574502040801007432

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1885
#13
25.92.0
20.822.8
Auto4.5
Teleop18.0
End3.4
red by 9.6
3793
#26
16.31.3
17.215.9
Auto6.9
Teleop8.3
End1.1
Second
4464
#31
22.12.0
17.219.1
Auto4.5
Teleop13.1
End4.5
red by 8.3
4099
#32
13.81.4
16.915.5
Auto4.9
Teleop6.3
End2.6
Third
5979
#18
14.32.0
15.617.5
Auto4.0
Teleop7.5
End2.8
red by 3.5
5841
#34
10.81.3
11.310.0
Auto0.9
Teleop7.5
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
51%Breach oddsEarned18%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed