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Red91
58309.5
141843.7
556917.2
Blue62
494528.2
482115.2
296313.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6754204060801009162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.71.5
40.942.4
Auto8.7
Teleop23.6
End11.3
red by 15.5
28.20.2
25.726.0
Auto7.6
Teleop14.8
End5.8
Second
5569
#16
17.21.5
15.416.9
Auto5.1
Teleop8.4
End3.7
red by 2.0
4821
#20
15.20.2
16.016.2
Auto4.2
Teleop9.0
End2.0
Third
5830
#35
9.52.2
7.09.1
Auto2.1
Teleop6.3
End1.1
blue by 4.2
2963
#28
13.70.3
12.813.0
Auto4.8
Teleop7.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
54%Breach oddsEarned65%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed