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Red109
511528.9
253734.3
445620.5
Blue97
206829.9
111129.7
189521.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106101608012014016010997

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.30.0
34.334.3
Auto11.8
Teleop16.0
End6.5
red by 4.4
29.90.1
30.430.3
Auto9.2
Teleop17.1
End3.6
Second
28.90.0
28.928.9
Auto7.7
Teleop16.0
End5.2
blue by 0.8
29.70.1
30.230.0
Auto7.3
Teleop18.1
End4.3
Third
4456
#18
20.50.0
20.620.6
Auto8.4
Teleop10.1
End2.1
blue by 1.2
1895
#28
21.70.1
22.222.1
Auto7.2
Teleop10.7
End3.7