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Red96
511528.9
253734.3
445620.5
Blue113
206829.9
111129.7
189521.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10710040608012014016096113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.30.3
34.634.3
Auto11.8
Teleop16.0
End6.5
red by 4.4
29.90.1
30.330.4
Auto9.2
Teleop17.1
End3.6
Second
28.90.3
29.328.9
Auto7.7
Teleop16.0
End5.2
blue by 0.8
29.70.1
30.030.2
Auto7.3
Teleop18.1
End4.3
Third
4456
#18
20.50.3
20.920.6
Auto8.4
Teleop10.1
End2.1
blue by 1.2
1895
#28
21.70.1
22.122.2
Auto7.2
Teleop10.7
End3.7