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Red110
284928.3
171928.8
88826.7
Blue97
237720.3
524322.3
533828.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11085406010012014016018011097

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.80.0
28.928.9
Auto6.5
Teleop17.3
End5.0
red by 0.2
5338
#15
28.60.1
28.528.6
Auto7.1
Teleop15.7
End5.8
Second
28.30.0
28.428.5
Auto9.6
Teleop15.1
End3.6
red by 6.1
5243
#10
22.30.1
22.122.3
Auto10.1
Teleop8.2
End3.9
Third
888
#16
26.70.0
26.826.9
Auto6.1
Teleop16.0
End4.7
red by 6.4
2377
#24
20.30.1
20.220.3
Auto1.9
Teleop14.4
End4.1