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Red74
533828.6
237720.3
447222.4
Blue59
189521.7
510622.6
621315.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6548204060801007459

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5338
#15
28.60.2
25.325.5
Auto7.1
Teleop15.7
End5.8
red by 6.1
5106
#29
22.60.5
13.013.5
Auto8.2
Teleop10.5
End4.0
Second
4472
#22
22.40.2
18.318.5
Auto2.0
Teleop13.9
End6.5
red by 0.7
1895
#28
21.70.3
21.822.1
Auto7.2
Teleop10.7
End3.7
Third
2377
#24
20.30.3
17.317.6
Auto1.9
Teleop14.4
End4.1
red by 4.9
6213
#34
15.50.5
14.314.9
Auto3.9
Teleop8.4
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
33%Breach oddsEarned23%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed