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Red54
446424.6
298829.4
394122.7
Blue62
374820.9
253734.3
524322.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66634050607080905462

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.40.7
21.921.2
Auto7.2
Teleop18.0
End4.2
blue by 4.9
34.30.0
28.028.0
Auto11.8
Teleop16.0
End6.5
Second
4464
#11
24.60.7
23.422.7
Auto8.9
Teleop11.7
End3.9
red by 2.3
5243
#10
22.30.0
16.916.9
Auto10.1
Teleop8.2
End3.9
Third
3941
#25
22.71.1
18.617.5
Auto3.4
Teleop16.0
End3.3
red by 1.7
3748
#19
20.90.0
16.716.7
Auto8.0
Teleop9.9
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
53%Breach oddsMissed73%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed