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Red60
454118.9
584123.5
189521.7
Blue114
594517.6
253734.3
206829.9
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions496602040608010012060114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5841
#12
23.50.7
12.613.3
Auto6.7
Teleop12.6
End4.1
blue by 10.8
34.32.2
28.030.2
Auto11.8
Teleop16.0
End6.5
Second
1895
#28
21.70.7
22.122.8
Auto7.2
Teleop10.7
End3.7
blue by 8.2
29.92.2
20.422.6
Auto9.2
Teleop17.1
End3.6
Third
4541
#30
18.90.7
15.416.1
Auto5.1
Teleop11.9
End1.9
red by 1.2
5945
#33
17.63.6
13.016.6
Auto6.1
Teleop8.0
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
18%Breach oddsMissed53%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed