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Red70
511528.9
394122.7
494533.8
Blue68
593620.2
447222.4
111129.7
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions765102040601001207068

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.80.0
28.728.7
Auto10.5
Teleop18.2
End5.1
red by 4.1
29.71.0
21.021.9
Auto7.3
Teleop18.1
End4.3
Second
28.90.0
24.124.1
Auto7.7
Teleop16.0
End5.2
red by 6.6
4472
#22
22.41.0
18.519.5
Auto2.0
Teleop13.9
End6.5
Third
3941
#25
22.70.0
17.517.4
Auto3.4
Teleop16.0
End3.3
red by 2.5
5936
#14
20.21.6
14.115.7
Auto6.4
Teleop10.8
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
80%Breach oddsEarned56%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed