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Red65
171928.8
88826.7
281912.4
Blue50
394122.7
584123.5
594517.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions634602040801006550

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.80.4
27.527.9
Auto6.5
Teleop17.3
End5.0
red by 5.3
5841
#12
23.50.2
13.313.5
Auto6.7
Teleop12.6
End4.1
Second
888
#16
26.70.4
24.925.3
Auto6.1
Teleop16.0
End4.7
red by 4.0
3941
#25
22.70.3
17.417.7
Auto3.4
Teleop16.0
End3.3
Third
2819
#21
12.40.4
6.67.0
Auto4.0
Teleop7.2
End1.2
blue by 5.2
5945
#33
17.60.3
16.616.9
Auto6.1
Teleop8.0
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
69%Breach oddsEarned14%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed