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Red85
189521.7
524322.3
111129.7
Blue57
409914.1
446424.6
171928.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7166204060801001208557

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.71.1
25.526.6
Auto7.3
Teleop18.1
End4.3
red by 0.9
28.80.5
28.227.6
Auto6.5
Teleop17.3
End5.0
Second
5243
#10
22.31.1
20.021.1
Auto10.1
Teleop8.2
End3.9
blue by 2.3
4464
#11
24.60.5
23.823.2
Auto8.9
Teleop11.7
End3.9
Third
1895
#28
21.71.1
22.924.0
Auto7.2
Teleop10.7
End3.7
red by 7.6
4099
#26
14.10.5
13.012.4
Auto4.7
Teleop7.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
77%Breach oddsEarned71%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed