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Red100
445620.5
298829.4
447222.4
Blue60
144611.2
511528.9
406714.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6350020408010012010060

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.42.1
23.725.7
Auto7.2
Teleop18.0
End4.2
red by 0.5
28.90.6
24.325.0
Auto7.7
Teleop16.0
End5.2
Second
4472
#22
22.42.1
19.021.1
Auto2.0
Teleop13.9
End6.5
red by 7.9
4067
#23
14.51.0
17.518.5
Auto2.7
Teleop9.5
End2.3
Third
4456
#18
20.52.1
16.518.6
Auto8.4
Teleop10.1
End2.1
red by 9.3
1446
#27
11.20.6
9.09.6
Auto3.3
Teleop7.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
51%Breach oddsEarned58%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed