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Red61
189521.7
409914.1
237720.3
Blue62
593620.2
584123.5
5314.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6044020801006162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1895
#28
21.70.0
22.922.9
Auto7.2
Teleop10.7
End3.7
blue by 1.8
5841
#12
23.50.8
14.815.6
Auto6.7
Teleop12.6
End4.1
Second
2377
#24
20.30.0
19.919.9
Auto1.9
Teleop14.4
End4.1
red by 0.1
5936
#14
20.21.3
17.518.8
Auto6.4
Teleop10.8
End3.0
Third
4099
#26
14.10.0
12.913.0
Auto4.7
Teleop7.8
End1.7
blue by 0.6
53
#32
14.71.2
13.014.2
Auto4.4
Teleop8.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
38%Breach oddsEarned32%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed