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Red50
533828.6
281912.4
510622.6
Blue70
413716.2
328322.6
524322.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions515702040801005070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5338
#15
28.60.0
26.526.5
Auto7.1
Teleop15.7
End5.8
red by 6.0
3283
#20
22.60.7
22.423.1
Auto6.9
Teleop10.6
End5.2
Second
5106
#29
22.60.0
15.415.4
Auto8.2
Teleop10.5
End4.0
red by 0.3
5243
#10
22.30.7
19.320.0
Auto10.1
Teleop8.2
End3.9
Third
2819
#21
12.40.0
8.58.5
Auto4.0
Teleop7.2
End1.2
blue by 3.7
4137
#31
16.21.1
13.214.3
Auto5.2
Teleop8.5
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
36%Breach oddsMissed36%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed