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Red102
447222.4
494533.8
253734.3
Blue79
524322.3
510622.6
463830.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions907002040608010012014016010279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.31.2
32.934.0
Auto11.8
Teleop16.0
End6.5
red by 3.7
30.60.6
27.828.4
Auto12.3
Teleop12.6
End5.8
Second
33.81.2
29.931.0
Auto10.5
Teleop18.2
End5.1
red by 11.2
5106
#29
22.60.7
21.322.0
Auto8.2
Teleop10.5
End4.0
Third
4472
#22
22.41.2
21.622.8
Auto2.0
Teleop13.9
End6.5
red by 0.1
5243
#10
22.30.6
21.622.2
Auto10.1
Teleop8.2
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned70%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed