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Red27
409914.1
413716.2
593620.2
Blue108
284928.3
111129.7
206829.9
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4695015027108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5936
#14DQ
20.21.9
21.619.7
Auto6.4
Teleop10.8
End3.0
blue by 9.7
29.90.5
29.129.6
Auto9.2
Teleop17.1
End3.6
Second
4137
#31
16.21.9
18.016.2
Auto5.2
Teleop8.5
End2.6
blue by 13.5
29.70.5
28.929.4
Auto7.3
Teleop18.1
End4.3
Third
4099
#26
14.11.7
12.811.1
Auto4.7
Teleop7.8
End1.7
blue by 14.2
28.30.5
27.327.8
Auto9.6
Teleop15.1
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
57%Breach oddsMissed85%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsEarned