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Red59
524322.3
88826.7
5314.7
Blue82
621315.5
284928.3
533828.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6573020401001201401605982

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
888
#16
26.70.4
27.427.0
Auto6.1
Teleop16.0
End4.7
blue by 1.9
5338
#15
28.60.8
27.328.2
Auto7.1
Teleop15.7
End5.8
Second
5243
#10
22.30.4
22.221.8
Auto10.1
Teleop8.2
End3.9
blue by 6.1
28.30.8
27.828.6
Auto9.6
Teleop15.1
End3.6
Third
53
#32
14.70.4
15.114.7
Auto4.4
Teleop8.5
End1.8
blue by 0.8
6213
#34
15.50.9
14.615.5
Auto3.9
Teleop8.4
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
82%Breach oddsEarned52%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed