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Red50
189521.7
374820.9
328322.6
Blue90
171928.8
445620.5
463830.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70812040601001201405090

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3283
#20
22.61.7
24.322.6
Auto6.9
Teleop10.6
End5.2
blue by 8.0
30.60.5
28.428.9
Auto12.3
Teleop12.6
End5.8
Second
1895
#28
21.71.7
23.121.4
Auto7.2
Teleop10.7
End3.7
blue by 7.1
28.80.5
28.629.1
Auto6.5
Teleop17.3
End5.0
Third
3748
#19
20.91.7
22.520.9
Auto8.0
Teleop9.9
End3.0
red by 0.4
4456
#18
20.50.5
20.320.8
Auto8.4
Teleop10.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
62%Breach oddsMissed91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed