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Red54
447222.4
446424.6
281912.4
Blue101
511528.9
409914.1
298829.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6267020408010012014054101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4464
#11
24.60.4
25.024.5
Auto8.9
Teleop11.7
End3.9
blue by 4.8
29.42.1
26.328.4
Auto7.2
Teleop18.0
End4.2
Second
4472
#22
22.40.4
22.822.4
Auto2.0
Teleop13.9
End6.5
blue by 6.6
28.92.1
27.129.2
Auto7.7
Teleop16.0
End5.2
Third
2819
#21
12.40.4
12.912.4
Auto4.0
Teleop7.2
End1.2
blue by 1.7
4099
#26
14.12.1
11.113.2
Auto4.7
Teleop7.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
45%Breach oddsMissed75%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsEarned