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Red98
242123.8
621317.6
413721.6
Blue35
394122.1
296120.5
5317.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47562040801009835

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.81.9
15.317.3
Auto5.7
Teleop14.4
End3.6
red by 1.7
3941
#26
22.11.2
22.721.5
Auto6.1
Teleop13.1
End2.9
Second
4137
#13
21.61.7
16.217.9
Auto8.0
Teleop9.3
End4.4
red by 1.1
2961
#21DQ
20.52.0
15.513.5
Auto3.7
Teleop12.4
End4.4
Third
6213
#35
17.61.7
15.517.2
Auto5.7
Teleop9.5
End2.4
red by 0.1
53
#38
17.51.2
14.713.5
Auto5.3
Teleop10.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
18%Breach oddsEarned54%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed