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Red64
379322.3
237729.2
494917.5
Blue54
450526.1
291221.1
179325.7
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions437102060801001201406454

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2377
#14
29.21.2
20.321.5
Auto6.6
Teleop16.1
End6.5
red by 3.1
4505
#11
26.10.7
29.228.4
Auto8.1
Teleop12.7
End5.3
Second
3793
#12
22.31.5
16.317.8
Auto7.9
Teleop11.0
End3.4
blue by 3.4
1793
#19
25.70.7
20.619.9
Auto10.8
Teleop10.1
End4.8
Third
4949
#33
17.51.6
9.411.0
Auto5.3
Teleop10.2
End2.0
blue by 3.5
2912
#24
21.10.9
15.214.3
Auto9.1
Teleop8.4
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
35%Breach oddsMissed55%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed