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Red64
482118.7
252830.7
510625.6
Blue44
61224.4
451417.4
219922.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6869506080906444

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2528
#18
30.70.2
29.229.0
Auto7.7
Teleop17.0
End6.0
red by 6.4
612
#28
24.41.5
26.925.4
Auto8.6
Teleop12.1
End3.7
Second
25.60.2
22.622.4
Auto10.0
Teleop9.9
End5.7
red by 3.5
2199
#25
22.11.8
20.418.6
Auto6.6
Teleop12.7
End2.8
Third
4821
#16
18.70.2
15.214.9
Auto5.4
Teleop10.2
End3.1
red by 1.3
4514
#32
17.41.8
18.616.9
Auto6.2
Teleop10.4
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
62%Breach oddsEarned72%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed