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Red80
291221.1
290023.1
113731.2
Blue79
533829.9
242123.8
597919.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions747002040601001201401608079

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.20.3
29.329.5
Auto9.6
Teleop16.0
End5.6
red by 1.3
5338
#17
29.90.7
30.531.2
Auto9.1
Teleop14.1
End6.6
Second
2900
#20
23.10.3
23.023.3
Auto10.3
Teleop8.0
End4.8
blue by 0.7
23.80.7
20.220.9
Auto5.7
Teleop14.4
End3.6
Third
2912
#24
21.10.3
18.919.1
Auto9.1
Teleop8.4
End3.6
red by 1.7
5979
#36
19.30.7
17.618.3
Auto5.0
Teleop10.6
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
68%Breach oddsEarned84%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed