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Red21
219922.1
296120.5
583015.1
Blue82
510625.6
182929.5
191519.2
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56712040801001202182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2199
#25
22.12.4
21.519.2
Auto6.6
Teleop12.7
End2.8
blue by 7.5
29.50.7
26.427.1
Auto8.8
Teleop15.9
End4.8
Second
2961
#21
20.53.7
19.615.9
Auto3.7
Teleop12.4
End4.4
blue by 5.1
25.60.7
22.322.9
Auto10.0
Teleop9.9
End5.7
Third
5830
#39
15.12.4
15.413.0
Auto5.4
Teleop7.0
End2.7
blue by 4.1
1915
#27
19.20.7
18.419.1
Auto4.8
Teleop11.1
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
46%Breach oddsMissed64%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed