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Red85
182929.5
68633.1
597919.3
Blue73
338929.4
237729.2
621317.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6770204060801001208573

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
686
#5
33.11.6
29.230.8
Auto11.0
Teleop18.5
End3.7
red by 3.7
29.40.3
29.029.4
Auto9.8
Teleop13.8
End5.8
Second
29.51.3
22.423.7
Auto8.8
Teleop15.9
End4.8
red by 0.3
2377
#14
29.20.3
21.521.9
Auto6.6
Teleop16.1
End6.5
Third
5979
#36
19.31.5
13.715.2
Auto5.0
Teleop10.6
End3.7
red by 1.7
6213
#35
17.60.3
17.217.6
Auto5.7
Teleop9.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
83%Breach oddsEarned52%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed