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Red101
450526.1
61224.4
83638.3
Blue34
379322.3
510625.6
583015.1
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10044020608012014016010134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
836
#1
38.30.2
34.534.7
Auto12.9
Teleop20.5
End4.9
red by 12.8
25.61.8
22.420.6
Auto10.0
Teleop9.9
End5.7
Second
4505
#11
26.10.2
28.428.6
Auto8.1
Teleop12.7
End5.3
red by 3.8
3793
#12
22.32.0
17.815.8
Auto7.9
Teleop11.0
End3.4
Third
612
#28
24.40.2
25.425.6
Auto8.6
Teleop12.1
End3.7
red by 9.3
5830
#39
15.12.0
10.78.7
Auto5.4
Teleop7.0
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned25%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed