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Red67
352520.9
359717.9
345126.8
Blue102
447332.7
615331.0
455526.6
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4784020406010012014016067102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3451
#14
26.81.0
22.423.4
Auto9.0
Teleop13.2
End4.6
blue by 5.9
4473
#12
32.71.7
29.130.8
Auto10.8
Teleop16.2
End5.7
Second
3525
#24
20.91.0
17.818.8
Auto9.6
Teleop8.9
End2.4
blue by 10.2
6153
#13
31.01.7
26.828.5
Auto11.4
Teleop15.5
End4.1
Third
3597
#34
17.91.0
11.712.7
Auto7.4
Teleop8.3
End2.2
blue by 8.8
4555
#17
26.61.7
20.222.0
Auto7.3
Teleop15.7
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
17%Breach oddsEarned79%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned