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Red106
512232.2
526513.8
17232.0
Blue76
404217.5
13353.4
252318.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions669305015010676

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5122
#21
32.22.1
29.031.1
Auto9.0
Teleop18.4
End4.9
blue by 21.1
133
#2
53.40.7
45.644.9
Auto15.0
Teleop31.1
End7.3
Second
172
#7
32.02.1
28.030.1
Auto10.5
Teleop17.0
End4.5
red by 14.0
2523
#38
18.00.7
20.920.2
Auto7.8
Teleop7.9
End2.2
Third
5265
#39
13.82.1
12.414.5
Auto4.0
Teleop8.7
End1.2
blue by 3.6
4042
#40
17.50.7
20.419.7
Auto6.2
Teleop8.5
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
64%Breach oddsEarned73%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed