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Red111
5825.8
264835.3
490634.4
Blue91
575224.6
590226.7
360921.0
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9558015020011191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2648
#15
35.31.6
29.030.6
Auto10.5
Teleop21.2
End3.5
red by 8.6
5902
#19
26.71.5
21.923.4
Auto7.9
Teleop16.1
End2.6
Second
34.41.6
31.232.8
Auto6.2
Teleop24.6
End3.6
red by 9.9
5752
#29
24.61.5
21.823.3
Auto7.0
Teleop12.1
End5.5
Third
58
#18
25.81.6
26.327.9
Auto5.3
Teleop16.6
End3.9
red by 4.8
3609
#32
21.01.5
19.921.4
Auto5.3
Teleop11.6
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned54%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsEarned